Blackjack county chains chords lyrics
- Переворачивайся. Любовники слились вместе как единое целое. He maintained a collection of pornographic material relating to sex with young boys, in their early teens. Но чудо все равно свершилось, и двери познания распахнулись для Элвина. As early as 1987, Centers for Disease Control officials knew that AIDS was likely to remain a disease of gay men and inner-city drug users.
I put mine back on as well. He was gay. He kept fucking, riding her corpse into oblivion. Even more remarkable, these government officials now publicly defend their deceit. He was a tall man, balding, but still retained the youthful looks of one twenty years his junior.
Good intuition can serve well in real life. And it can often be helpful in the surreal world of the casino. Often, not always. The sand in the gambling gears results partly from punting palaces being places where people are prodded, subtly in some cases and blatantly in others, to trust what they want to be true and not what they see or know is. But phenomena more fundamental are afoot. Rigorous analysis occasionally yields surprising if not outright counterintuitive conclusions.
Among other things, this explains why many blackjack veterans never bother to learn the nuances of "Basic Strategy" before risking hard-earned money on a game they don't quite understand, deliberately flout the rules because they haven't a clue as to how they were derived and think their gut will serve them better, or follow the strait and narrow because they're "supposed to" but are uneasy doing so. Basic Strategy comprises the decisions that maximize the "expectation" for each set of player totals and dealer upcards.
This implies the fattest profit when players are favored, and the leanest loss when the house is in the catbird seat. It's calculated by finding the chance of winning times the payoff and subtracting from this the chance of losing times the wager. For convenience in comparing alternate situations, values are usually given per dollar bet or expressed as percentages. The root of many Basic Strategy head-scratchers lies in the role played by pushes -- hands where players and dealers have equal nonbreakers so bets neither win nor lose.
An example might be a player's 12 versus two-up. Basic Strategy is to hit. Many solid citizens stand. Some because they selectively recall hitting and breaking. Others after reasoning that four cards the 10s break and lose immediately, four leave totals less than 17 ace through four which won't improve their position, and only five help but still may not win unless the dealer busts, so why not stay in contention rather than take what seems like a futile longshot?
A 12 versus two-up is an underdog no matter how it's handled. How do these numbers originate? The expectation associated with standing is relatively straightforward to picture. On the average, a dealer with two-up who must hit anything under 17 and stand otherwise will bust A total of 12 can't push, so the player loses on the remaining Expectation is the difference, Expectation for hitting the 12 can be found by calculating a the chances players break, end below 17, or finish at 17, 18, 19, 20, or 21; b the likelihoods the dealer will bust or finish at equal, higher, or lower levels from 17 through 21; and c the probabilities of the combinations.